[TL; DR]
Tether USDT should improve its transparenc to enhance its viabilit.
Deutsche Bank and JPMorgan agree that Tether USDT faces operational risks that threaten its future viabilit.
The EU will implement the MICA regulations during mid-ear which will affect stablecoins in the region.
Introduction
The Deutsche Bank, released on 7 Ma, has generated much debate in the crpto sector as it predicts failures of several leading stablecoins including Tether USDT. Importantl, the report covers the performances of different currenc pegs since 1800. Despite such speculations some analsts contend that if national governments institute suitable regulation most stablecoins will be able to maintain their pegs.
The greatest risks the stablecoins face are related to crpto legislation and reserve compliance. This article covers Deutsche Banks Tether USDT analsis and the future of stablecoins.
Deutsche Bank Research's analsis on Tether's USDT
The Deutsche Bank Research report that explores 334 currenc pegs since 1800 has highlighted the risks that stablecoins face. However, it delved much more on operational risks which Tether ma encounter.
The research concluded that out of the 334 currenc pegs that Deutsche investigated onl 14% of them are still on the market, showing the vulnerabilit of stablecoins. The prominent threats to the existing stablecoins include depegging as a result of speculative tendencies. Lack of operational transparenc on the part of the stablecoin issuers exacerbates their risks.
First, in its report Deutsche Bank has questioned Tether USDTs stabilit and the transparenc of Tether practices pertaining to its USD denominated reserves. As per a recent Cointelegraph publication, the analsts at the bank also question Tether USDTs solvenc.
Nevertheless, due to Tether market dominance it ma not be possible to notice the threats that it is facing until a peso moment that will likel affect crpto market volatilit. According to the Deutsche Bank report the peso moment ma have an impact on the entire crpto market.
To illustrate its point, the report cited the example of the collapse of TerraUSD (TUSD) which wiped over $40 billion from the crpto market within a few das. As ou remember, the Terra USD collapse resulted in the implosion of several crpto projects that had links with it. In this regard, Deutsche Bank stated: While some ma survive, most will likel fail, particularl due to the lack of transparenc in stablecoin operations and vulnerabilit to speculative sentiment.
Read also: Will the Terra Luna Project Ever Recover?
One point Deutsche Bank has put across to the entire crpto market is that there is a need for stablecoin transparenc. For example, all crptocurrenc pegged currencies should keep amble reserves which are audited and publicied to avoid panic among its users if there are signs of depegging.
As part of its research Deutsche Bank carried out a consumer surve in various countries including Spain, Ital, France, German, the United Kingdom and the United States. Out of the 3,350 participants onl 18% showed confidence in the viabilit and sustainabilit of stablecoins. On the contrar, 42% believed that stablecoins ma decline as a result of various crpto ecosstem risks.
Tether USDT Analsis: JPMorgans Concern
The Deutsche Bank Tether stablecoin market analsis seems to resonate with JPMorgans scepticism of USDTs long term viabilit. In Februar JPMorgan produced another report that positions Tether market dominance as a threat to the crpto market as it limits competition and innovation. As a result of its dominance if it faces strong operational problems that ma have a domino effect on the entire crpto market.
Brad Garlinghouse, Ripple CEO, also raised concern about Tether USDTs viabilit. However, his concern is different from that of JPMorgan and Deutsche Bank. Garlinghouses fear is that stablecoin regulations in the United States and the EU ma adversel affect the performance of Tether USDT. In fact, the Ripple CEO strongl believes that the U.S government is targeting Tether USDT in a wa that ma destabilie its smooth operations.
Past Tether Regulator Issues and Fines
Garlinghouses fears ma sound realistic if we consider previous Tether regulator issues. As a fact, in 2021 the U.S Commodit Futures Trading Commission imposed a $41 million fine on Tether. During the same ear Tether made an USD $18.5 million settlement with the New York Attorne General. Both penalties emanated from the allegations that Tether had made misleading claims about its reserves. Basicall, the U.S authorities had strong doubts about Tethers stablecoin compliance in terms of reserves. It seems obvious that at that time Tether failed the proof of burden test.
Going forward, what is important is that Tether keeps enough reserves for its USDT stablecoin. More importantl, it should be transparent in this regard and be able to prove to the authorities the sufficienc of its reserves at an time. It ma also be essential for Tether to invite external auditors. Currentl, it seems that Tether is reling on its attestation. For example, its Q4, 2023 attestation shows that it generated $2.85 billion in profit. It produced the following as part of the attestation. 2023 Tether Reserves Tether
Whereas this seems impressive an external audit report ma do much good and improve its public image as it increases transparenc and accountabilit. A full audit is more comprehensible as it indicates the firms risks, compliance and the currentl unknown data.
Important to know: Commodities vs. securities: Ke differences
Tethers Response
In the wake of the above allegations and industr concerns Tether has plaed down on the fears the cited parties have raised. It dismissed the Deutsche Bank report for lack of validit since it contains no evidence nor clarit. On the other hand, the stablecoin giant said that it has mechanisms to maintain the stabilit of the stablecoin.
It also stated that it is irrelevant for Deutsche Bank to compare USDT, a fiat-backed stablecoin, to TerraUSD, an algorithmic stablecoin. In comments shared with Cointelegraph, a Tether representative said, Moreover, its comparison to Terra, an algorithmic stablecoin, is misleading and irrelevant to the discussion on reserve-backed coins. The reason is that Terra USD collapse was not directl linked to the absence of reserves.
It continued, Questioning the credibilit of an financial institution, especiall one with Deutsche Banks track record, seems ironic. Deutsche Banks histor of fines and penalties raises doubts about its own standing to critique others in the industr.
USDT's Role and Market Cap Growth in the Crpto Market
Based on the current stablecoin market analsis Tether USDT is plaing a critical role in the entire crptocurrenc market. Basicall, USDT enables traders to maintain the value of their crpto holdings. For example, during a period of market volatilit man investors prefer to convert their crpto assets to Tether USDT. It is also important to note that the USDT stabilit is evident since it has never experienced instances of sharp depegging.
Tether, with a market capitaliation of over $100 billion, has a stablecoin market share of over 69%. In most cases, the USDT trading volumes are greater than those of Bitcoin, the number one crptocurrenc. The main reason for this is that USDT is paired against man crpto assets. Similarl, man people and institutions also use Tether USDT as a medium of exchange and for international remittances. Additionall, the stablecoin provides much needed liquidit to the crptocurrenc market and enhances the popularit of digital assets.
Upcoming Stablecoin Regulations in the US and the EU's MiCA
Several countries intend to introduce crpto laws that will govern different classes of crptocurrencies including stablecoins. For example, the EU will soon implement the Markets in Crpto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) b mid-ear. On the other hand, the United States is working on its stablecoin regulation, the Clarit for Pament stablecoins Act. These crpto legislations have several similarities. For example, both require the issuers to get licenses before issuing stablecoins. The stablecoin providers should also segregate customer funds as well as maintaining sufficient reserves.
Conclusion
A recent Deutsche Bank Research has indicated that stablecoins face viabilit challenges, especiall if the lack transparenc. It also pointed out that stablecoins like USDT ma encounter operational risk due to speculative tendencies of crptocurrencies. In recent months, JPMorgan identified the USDT dominance as a threat to the banking sstem. The crpto legislation which the United States and the EU ma implement soon are likel to create additional risks to stablecoins.
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